Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.117179 0.130632 0.144396 0.159493 0.175548 0.192075 0.210336
2024-10-20 0.098973 0.117534 0.137241 0.159592 0.184107 0.210058 0.239485
2024-10-27 0.084519 0.106364 0.130343 0.158334 0.189840 0.223953 0.263427
2024-11-03 0.074629 0.099037 0.126642 0.159683 0.197689 0.239607 0.288913
2024-11-10 0.068012 0.094693 0.125677 0.163573 0.207965 0.257677 0.316922
2024-11-17 0.060376 0.088356 0.121740 0.163452 0.213188 0.269695 0.337873
2024-11-24 0.055348 0.084723 0.120620 0.166310 0.221608 0.285196 0.362694
2024-12-01 0.050230 0.080497 0.118385 0.167491 0.227783 0.297907 0.384178
2024-12-08 0.045152 0.075875 0.115288 0.167297 0.232053 0.308195 0.402711
2024-12-15 0.041144 0.072346 0.113303 0.168249 0.237531 0.319787 0.422699
2024-12-22 0.036870 0.068083 0.110069 0.167366 0.240549 0.328289 0.438923
2024-12-29 0.034551 0.066416 0.110131 0.170600 0.248609 0.342841 0.462371
2025-01-05 0.031397 0.063390 0.108337 0.171506 0.253952 0.354406 0.482697
2025-01-12 0.028244 0.060095 0.105968 0.171501 0.258037 0.364384 0.501114
2025-01-19 0.024990 0.056337 0.102717 0.170125 0.260228 0.371936 0.516541
2025-01-26 0.022836 0.054156 0.101578 0.171503 0.265913 0.383807 0.537263
2025-02-02 0.021589 0.053375 0.102412 0.175553 0.275082 0.400066 0.563443
2025-02-09 0.019387 0.050736 0.100327 0.175417 0.278647 0.409213 0.580818
2025-02-16 0.018124 0.049643 0.100496 0.178398 0.286330 0.423583 0.604716
2025-02-23 0.016569 0.047857 0.099492 0.179629 0.291619 0.434886 0.624798
2025-03-02 0.014846 0.045566 0.097562 0.179425 0.294899 0.443572 0.641591
2025-03-09 0.013513 0.043890 0.096509 0.180419 0.299760 0.454273 0.660926
2025-03-16 0.011943 0.041539 0.094225 0.179496 0.301919 0.461431 0.675766